عناصر مشابهة
تركيا حتى 2023 حراك داخلى نشط وانكفاء خارجى مؤقت
| المصدر: | مجلة دراسات شرق أوسطية |
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| الناشر: |
مركز دراسات الشرق الاوسط
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| المؤلف الرئيسي: | |
| المجلد/العدد: | مج18, ع69 |
| محكمة: | نعم |
| الدولة: | الأردن |
| التاريخ الميلادي: | 2014 |
| الصفحات: | 31 - 55 |
| DOI: | 10.12816/0008465 |
| ISSN: | 1811-8208 |
| رقم MD: | 588511 |
| نوع المحتوى: | بحوث ومقالات |
| قواعد المعلومات: | EcoLink HumanIndex |
| مواضيع: | |
| رابط المحتوى: |
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| المستخلص: | Turkey might witness a remarkable change in domestic and foreign policy priorities in the next decade. The period of 2014-2023 is a decisive and critical to the strategy of Justice and Development Party (AKP), Turkey’ ruling party who won nine consecutive elections since 2002. According to the AKP’s political vision and program, Turkey would attain the following main objectives: Establishing the ‘new republic’, being the world’s 10th largest economy by 2023, combating ‘the parallel state’, accomplishing the equal citizenship, and exerting its best efforts to meet the requirements of the European Union’s full membership. These domestic issues and objectives might reprioritization the country’s agenda, perhaps at the expense of its regional active role. However, domestic priorities are not the only factor that affects Turkey’s foreign policy. Since the outbreak of the Arab Spring’s revolutions, Turkey has faced complicated regional circumstances and ‘bad’ relationships with some of its previous ‘friends’, especially Syria, Egypt, some parties in Iraq and Lebanon, and Israel, in addition to the threats across the borders. Temporarily, these domestic priorities and inappropriate regional circumstances might put pressure on Turkey to give up its central regional role and active policy. Thus, it may adopt a new approach of foreign policy that focuses on the humanitarian and preventive diplomacy. Despite it would maintain its presence in the region, but, mostly, it would reduce its active engagement in region’s problems except in the context of the requirements of its international alliances, or in case of the existence of imminent threats to its national security. However, this relative retreat would be temporary not permanent because of the AKP’s political vision and its leaders’ aspiration have been focusing on the restoring of Turkey’s regional and international status and role. This study includes three sections: The first section defines the future implications of the recent Turkish presidential elections. The second section explains the nature of the immediate domestic issues that Turkey will focus on after the elections. The third section shows how Turkey constitutes a new foreign policy approach and analyzes the factors that impose a relative retreat of its active regional role. The conclusion explains why this retreat would be temporary and limited to the objectives of 2023. |
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